COVID-19-associated costs and mortality in Germany: an incidence-based analysis from a payer's perspective.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to estimate average COVID-19-associated healthcare costs per capita in Germany from a payer perspective. In addition, insights into COVID-19-associated mortality should be gained. METHODS: For this purpose, a retrospective longitudinal analysis using health insurance claims data was performed. Patients affected by COVID-19 in Q1/2021 (investigation group (IG)) were compared to a matched non-COVID-19 control group (CG) (1:1 propensity score matching (PSM)). Mean values of healthcare costs in 2020 and 2021 were computed for both groups and then separated by age and by development of Post-COVID-19 Syndrome (PCS). Group differences were examined using Mann-Whitney U test (α = 0.05). Difference-in-Differences approach (DiD) was used to estimate average cost effects of COVID-19 in 2021. Concerning mortality, the number of deaths in 2021 was compared between IG and CG using χ2 test of independence. RESULTS: A total of 8,014 insurants were included (n = 4,007 per group; n = 536 per group examining PCS patients only). Total healthcare costs varied a lot in the sample, were comparable between IG and CG in 2020, but were significantly higher in the IG in 2021 (DiD estimate = € 1,063 (in total); € 3,242 (PCS group)). This was more pronounced in the older age groups. High hospital costs of a minority of patients were the most influential driver of COVID-19-associated healthcare costs. Mortality was more than doubled in the IG (tripled in patients aged ≥ 60). CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 is associated with significantly increased healthcare costs and mortality, especially in older age groups. The additional development of PCS further increases the costs of COVID-19.

Generation of a pancreatic cancer model using a Pdx1-Flp recombinase knock-in allele.

The contribution of the tumor microenvironment to the development of pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is unclear. The LSL-KrasG12D/+;LSL-p53R172H/+;Pdx-1-Cre (KPC) tumor model, which is widely utilized to faithfully recapitulate human pancreatic cancer, depends on Cre-mediated recombination in the epithelial lineage to drive tumorigenesis. Therefore, specific Cre-loxP recombination in stromal cells cannot be applied in this model, limiting the in vivo investigation of stromal genetics in tumor initiation and progression. To address this issue, we generated a new Pdx1FlpO knock-in mouse line, which represents the first mouse model to physiologically express FlpO recombinase in pancreatic epithelial cells. This mouse specifically recombines Frt loci in pancreatic epithelial cells, including acinar, ductal, and islet cells. When combined with the Frt-STOP-Frt KrasG12D and p53Frt mouse lines, simultaneous Pdx1FlpO activation of mutant Kras and deletion of p53 results in the spectrum of pathologic changes seen in PDAC, including PanIN lesions and ductal carcinoma. Combination of this KPF mouse model with any stroma-specific Cre can be used to conditionally modify target genes of interest. This will provide an excellent in vivo tool to study the roles of genes in different cell types and multiple cell compartments within the pancreatic tumor microenvironment.

Genetic ablation of Smoothened in pancreatic fibroblasts increases acinar-ductal metaplasia.

The contribution of the microenvironment to pancreatic acinar-to-ductal metaplasia (ADM), a preneoplastic transition in oncogenic Kras-driven pancreatic cancer progression, is currently unclear. Here we show that disruption of paracrine Hedgehog signaling via genetic ablation of Smoothened (Smo) in stromal fibroblasts in a Kras(G12D) mouse model increased ADM. Smo-deleted fibroblasts had higher expression of transforming growth factor-α (Tgfa) mRNA and secreted higher levels of TGFα, leading to activation of EGFR signaling in acinar cells and increased ADM. The mechanism involved activation of AKT and noncanonical activation of the GLI family transcription factor GLI2. GLI2 was phosphorylated at Ser230 in an AKT-dependent fashion and directly regulated Tgfa expression in fibroblasts lacking Smo Additionally, Smo-deleted fibroblasts stimulated the growth of Kras(G12D)/Tp53(R172H) pancreatic tumor cells in vivo and in vitro. These results define a non-cell-autonomous mechanism modulating Kras(G12D)-driven ADM that is balanced by cross-talk between Hedgehog/SMO and AKT/GLI2 pathways in stromal fibroblasts.